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CANSSI/SSC Cross-Country Tour with Lisa Kanary

Most travel restrictions imposed during the COVID-19 pandemic applied to all travellers, regardless of origin of departure or individual behaviour. Such measures do not account for the role that behaviour plays in an individual’s probability of encountering an infectious individual and contracting COVID-19. We present a statistical model, designed for use in the Yukon Territory, that estimates an individual’s probability of being a contact of an infectious person as a function of disease prevalence and the daily activities the individual engaged in during the two weeks prior to the date of assessment. Our tool presents a method for estimating contact probability that could be adopted by jurisdictions considering border travel restrictions, facility closures or group size limits, or for individuals evaluating their own behaviours.

Dec 16, 2022 11:00 AM in Vancouver

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